Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 2.734809 2.869503 3.010761 3.170572 3.347125 3.537118 3.758263
2025-10-26 2.532372 2.724154 2.935267 3.187326 3.483437 3.824709 4.254665
2025-11-02 2.363961 2.587914 2.843158 3.160440 3.551591 4.028784 4.673679
2025-11-09 2.203429 2.441283 2.718998 3.074332 3.528384 4.107326 4.936116
2025-11-16 2.086442 2.334373 2.629671 3.016824 3.527169 4.204259 5.227713
2025-11-23 2.006756 2.265303 2.578935 2.999648 3.571118 4.359931 5.621971
2025-11-30 1.947917 2.216988 2.548986 3.004100 3.640569 4.554735 6.107666
2025-12-07 1.879869 2.152693 2.493666 2.968911 3.648863 4.657306 6.459357
2025-12-14 1.800162 2.069576 2.409094 2.887494 3.582433 4.635865 6.586835
2025-12-21 1.763630 2.039804 2.392292 2.897418 3.648938 4.828968 7.149467
2025-12-28 1.744792 2.031619 2.402976 2.945504 3.775527 5.135337 8.021962
2026-01-04 1.701491 1.989306 2.365214 2.920993 3.786416 5.243880 8.504386
2026-01-11 1.664965 1.957628 2.344545 2.926312 3.855387 5.484987 9.440848
2026-01-18 1.643508 1.945561 2.350815 2.972897 3.998477 5.895617 11.066776
2026-01-25 1.604888 1.908607 2.320212 2.961167 4.041954 6.120980 12.339702
2026-02-01 1.550545 1.848136 2.253434 2.889071 3.973103 6.100808 12.796695
2026-02-08 1.506475 1.800317 2.202818 2.839359 3.939618 6.152344 13.578295
2026-02-15 1.475542 1.769551 2.175413 2.824578 3.967574 6.346302 15.140371
2026-02-22 1.452017 1.748183 2.160594 2.828756 4.030508 6.635330 17.559657
2026-03-01 1.420072 1.713926 2.125360 2.797387 4.022751 6.751118 19.287873
2026-03-08 1.378460 1.664931 2.066687 2.724523 3.929019 6.633275 19.433565
2026-03-15 1.360990 1.649601 2.057542 2.733428 3.996192 6.949902 23.333921
2026-03-22 1.353321 1.647864 2.068510 2.776491 4.135999 7.505926 31.963762